Wingstop
WING
$158.47
-6.90%
Wingstop is a fast-casual restaurant chain specializing in chicken wings, tenders, and sandwiches, operating primarily through a franchise model in the US and internationally. As a dominant player in the chicken wing segment, it stands out for its asset-light, high-margin franchise system that generates predictable royalty and advertising revenue. The current investor narrative centers on the stock's dramatic decline from its 52-week high amid concerns over slowing same-store sales growth and rising competition, though recent stabilization in price and strong unit economics have sparked debate about a potential turnaround.…
WING
Wingstop
$158.47
Related headlines
WING 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Wingstop's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $206.01 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$206.01
5 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
5
covering this stock
Price Range
$127 - $206
Analyst target range
Only 5 analysts cover Wingstop, which is low for a company of its market cap ($7.2 billion), indicating limited institutional interest. The consensus recommendation is not explicitly provided, but the average EPS estimate of $10.79 and revenue estimate of $1.288 billion for the current fiscal year imply a forward PE of 16.5x based on the current price of $177.99. This suggests analysts see significant upside, but the low coverage count means the consensus may not be fully representative.
WING Technical Analysis
Wingstop is in a sustained downtrend, with a 1-year price change of -45.45% and the stock trading at 46.7% of its 52-week range (current price $177.99 vs. 52-week low $116.35 and high $381.45). This positioning near the low end of the range suggests the market has priced in significant pessimism, but also raises the risk of further downside if fundamentals deteriorate. The stock has lost over half its value from the 52-week high, indicating a severe bear market.
Beta
1.78
1.78x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-68.8%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$116-$381
Price range past year
Annual Return
-51.5%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | WING Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +10.5% | +0.8% |
| 3m | -11.5% | +9.6% |
| 6m | -42.2% | +7.4% |
| 1y | -51.5% | +20.2% |
| ytd | -38.3% | +9.3% |
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WING Fundamental Analysis
Wingstop's revenue has grown steadily, with Q4 2025 revenue of $175.7 million, up 8.57% year-over-year from $161.8 million in Q4 2024. However, the growth rate has decelerated from the 20%+ levels seen in 2021-2022, as the company matures. Revenue segments show royalty and franchise fees ($81.2 million) and advertising ($62.0 million) as the primary drivers, reflecting the franchise-heavy model. The deceleration in top-line growth is a key concern for investors seeking high-growth exposure.
Quarterly Revenue
$175694000.0B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
+0.08%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
+0.82%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$105624000.0B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is WING Overvalued?
Since Wingstop has positive net income ($26.8 million in Q4 2025), the PE ratio is the primary valuation metric. The trailing PE is 41.12x, while the forward PE is 31.89x, implying the market expects earnings growth to reduce the multiple. The gap between trailing and forward PE suggests analysts anticipate a 22.4% earnings increase over the next year, which is optimistic given the current growth trajectory.
PE
41.1x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Low-End
5-Year PE Range 17x~187x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
27.7x
Enterprise Value Multiple