ALNY

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals

$279.14

-0.75%
Jul 15, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals is a biotechnology company pioneering RNA interference (RNAi) therapeutics, with approved products including Onpattro, Amvuttra, Givlaari, and Oxlumo for rare diseases, and partnered drugs Leqvio and Qfitlia. As the leader in RNAi technology, Alnylam has established a first-mover advantage in a novel therapeutic modality, with a robust pipeline spanning cardio-metabolic, neuroscience, and hematology indications. The current investor narrative centers on the company's accelerating revenue growth driven by its commercial portfolio and expanding pipeline, though debates persist around valuation and the sustainability of its growth trajectory amid competitive pressures.

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ALNY 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $279.14
Average Target $279.14
High Target $321.01
Low Target $237.27

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Alnylam Pharmaceuticals's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $362.88 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$362.88

10 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

10

covering this stock

Price Range

$223 - $363

Analyst target range

Buy
3 (30%)
Hold
5 (50%)
Sell
2 (20%)

Alnylam is covered by 10 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish: the majority rate it a Buy, with only one Hold (Jefferies downgraded from Buy in March 2026). The average analyst target is not explicitly provided, but based on recent news suggesting 45% upside, the implied target is approximately $433 (from $298.76). This represents +45% upside, indicating strong bullish sentiment. The consensus recommendation is a Buy, supported by recent upgrades from Freedom Capital Markets and Freedom Broker in February 2026. The high target is likely around $495 (52-week high) or higher, assuming pipeline success and market share gains. The low target may be near $273 (52-week low), pricing in competitive risks or slower growth. The spread between high and low is wide, reflecting uncertainty typical of biotech. Recent analyst actions show mostly reaffirmations of Buy ratings, with only one downgrade to Hold, suggesting conviction remains high. The bullish consensus is driven by Alnylam's revenue acceleration, pipeline breadth, and leadership in RNAi, though valuation concerns keep some analysts cautious.

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ALNY Technical Analysis

Alnylam is in a sustained downtrend, with the stock declining 7.4% over the past year and currently trading at 298.76, which is just 60% of its 52-week range (52-week low: 273.11, high: 495.55). The price sits near the lower end of the range, suggesting bearish sentiment and potential value opportunity, but also risk of further downside if support breaks. The 1-year price change of -7.4% contrasts with the S&P 500's +20.6% gain, indicating significant relative underperformance. Short-term momentum shows a mixed picture: the 1-month change is +2.6%, while the 3-month change is -7.2%, indicating a recent bounce but still negative medium-term trend. The 1-month relative strength vs. SPY is -1.48, meaning the stock underperformed the market even during the bounce. The RSI is not provided, but the price action suggests a potential short-term recovery attempt within a longer-term downtrend. The 52-week low at 273.11 provides key support; a break below could signal further declines toward the 2025 lows. Resistance is at the 52-week high of 495.55, a level that seems distant given current momentum. Beta is 0.269, indicating the stock is significantly less volatile than the market, which may appeal to risk-averse investors but also limits upside in rallies. The current price is 9.4% above the 52-week low, suggesting some support, but the stock remains 39.7% below the 52-week high.

Beta

0.27

0.27x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-43.4%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$273-$496

Price range past year

Annual Return

-10.3%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodALNY ReturnS&P 500
1m-3.0%+0.0%
3m-12.8%+7.6%
6m-22.3%+9.1%
1y-10.3%+21.3%
ytd-30.2%+10.7%

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ALNY Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth has been exceptional, with Q4 2025 revenue of $1.097 billion representing 84.95% year-over-year growth, driven by strong commercial execution across the portfolio. However, the trajectory shows some deceleration from Q3 2025's $1.249 billion, though Q3 included a one-time partner milestone. The trailing twelve-month revenue run-rate is approximately $3.51 billion, with key products like Givlaari ($160.7M) and Onpattro ($70.8M) contributing. The growth is fueled by expanding patient populations and new launches, but investors should monitor for sustainability as competition emerges. Profitability has turned positive: Q4 2025 net income was $186.4 million (EPS $1.41), a dramatic improvement from a net loss of $83.8 million in Q4 2024. Gross margin remains strong at 75.6% in Q4 2025, though slightly compressed from 84.2% in Q3 2025 due to product mix. Operating margin improved to 12.0% in Q4 2025 from negative levels a year ago, indicating operating leverage. The company is now generating positive net income, a critical milestone for a biotech firm. The balance sheet is solid: cash and equivalents of $1.66 billion as of Q4 2025, with free cash flow of $140.3 million in Q4 2025 and $465.4 million TTM. Debt-to-equity is 1.62, manageable given the cash position, and the current ratio of 2.76 indicates ample liquidity. ROE is 39.8%, reflecting strong profitability relative to equity, though this is partly due to leverage. The company is self-funding operations and growth, reducing reliance on external financing.

Quarterly Revenue

$1.1B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+85.0%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

75.6%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$465383000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

GIVLAARI
ONPATTRO

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Valuation Analysis: Is ALNY Overvalued?

Since net income is positive (TTM net income of $186.4 million), we lead with the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 166.4x, while the forward P/E is 22.1x, implying the market expects significant earnings growth. The wide gap between trailing and forward P/E reflects the recent swing to profitability and anticipated continued expansion. The P/S ratio of 14.0x provides a secondary check. Compared to the biotechnology industry average P/S of approximately 6-8x, Alnylam trades at a premium of about 75-100%, justified by its 85% revenue growth and leadership in RNAi. The P/E premium is even more pronounced given the industry average forward P/E of around 15-20x; Alnylam's 22.1x is only slightly above, suggesting the market prices in above-average growth but not extreme optimism. Historically, Alnylam's trailing P/E has ranged from negative (when unprofitable) to over 200x. The current trailing P/E of 166x is near the high end of its historical range, but the forward P/E of 22x is more moderate. The P/B ratio of 66.0x is extremely high, typical for biotech firms with intangible assets. Overall, the valuation reflects the market's expectation of continued strong growth and margin expansion, but leaves little room for disappointment.

PE

166.4x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -456x~71x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

81.9x

Enterprise Value Multiple