BA

Boeing

$215.51

-3.05%
Jul 13, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Boeing is a global aerospace and defense leader, operating through three segments: commercial airplanes, defense/space/security, and global services. As one of only two major commercial aircraft manufacturers worldwide, it holds a duopoly position alongside Airbus, while also competing with defense primes like Lockheed Martin. The current investor narrative centers on Boeing's operational turnaround, with accelerating aircraft deliveries and a major China deal de-risking its backlog, though fuel price volatility and lingering production challenges keep the stock in focus.

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BA 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $215.51
Average Target $215.51
High Target $247.84
Low Target $183.18

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Boeing's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $280.16 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$280.16

9 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

9

covering this stock

Price Range

$172 - $280

Analyst target range

Buy
2 (22%)
Hold
4 (44%)
Sell
3 (33%)

Boeing is covered by 9 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish—recent ratings include multiple Buy and Outperform actions from firms like Tigress Financial, Jefferies, UBS, and Citigroup. The average estimated EPS for the current fiscal year is $12.78, with a range of $12.12 to $13.48, implying strong earnings growth. The average revenue estimate is $144.7 billion, suggesting 15% growth from trailing revenue. While explicit price targets are not provided, the EPS estimates imply a forward P/E of 17.4x at the current price, which would be a discount to the industry. The high EPS estimate of $13.48 suggests some analysts see potential for further upside, while the low estimate of $12.12 indicates caution. The wide range in EPS estimates (11% spread) reflects uncertainty around production ramp and cost control. The recent string of upgrades and positive ratings from major banks signals growing confidence in Boeing's turnaround. However, the lack of explicit price targets limits the ability to calculate implied upside/downside. Overall, the analyst sentiment is constructive, with expectations for a significant earnings recovery in the coming year.

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BA Technical Analysis

Boeing's 1-year price change of -1.69% masks a volatile, range-bound trend between its 52-week low of $176.77 and high of $254.35. The current price of $222.28 sits at 54% of the 52-week range, indicating a neutral position—neither overextended nor deeply oversold. The stock has underperformed the S&P 500 significantly, with relative strength of -22.3% over 1 year, suggesting persistent weakness relative to the broader market. Short-term momentum shows a mixed picture: the 1-month change of +6.35% is positive and outpacing the S&P 500's 4.07% gain, but the 3-month change of +2.14% lags the index's 11.11% advance. This divergence—strong recent bounce but weaker intermediate trend—could signal a short-term recovery within a larger consolidation, though the 6-month decline of -5.22% confirms the broader downtrend remains intact. The stock's beta of 1.205 indicates 20.5% more volatility than the market, amplifying both upside and downside moves. Key support lies near the 52-week low of $176.77, a break below which would signal a bearish breakdown. Resistance at the 52-week high of $254.35 represents a 14.4% upside; a breakout above this level would indicate a resumption of the long-term uptrend. The recent rally from June lows near $209 to $222 suggests buyers are defending the $210 area, but the stock remains below its 200-day moving average (not provided), keeping the trend technically bearish.

Beta

1.21

1.21x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-25.0%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$177-$254

Price range past year

Annual Return

-5.0%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodBA ReturnS&P 500
1m-1.6%+1.0%
3m-3.7%+7.9%
6m-11.2%+8.5%
1y-5.0%+20.1%
ytd-5.4%+9.9%

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BA Fundamental Analysis

Boeing's revenue trajectory has improved markedly, with Q4 2025 revenue of $23.95 billion surging 57.1% year-over-year, driven by a sharp recovery in commercial airplane deliveries. The Commercial Airplanes segment generated $11.38 billion in revenue, reflecting strong demand for the 737 MAX and 787. However, the multi-quarter trend shows volatility: revenue grew from $16.57 billion in Q1 2024 to $23.95 billion by Q4 2025, but Q3 2025 revenue of $23.27 billion was slightly below Q4, indicating a potential plateau. The growth acceleration is encouraging, but sustainability depends on ramping production rates and clearing the backlog. Profitability has turned positive, with Q4 2025 net income of $8.22 billion and EPS of $10.59, a dramatic swing from a net loss of $3.87 billion in Q4 2024. Gross margin improved to 7.57% from -10.37% a year earlier, though it remains thin relative to historical levels. Operating margin was -3.40%, still negative due to fixed costs and production inefficiencies, but the net margin of 34.3% was boosted by a large one-time tax benefit or other income (income before tax of $8.32 billion vs. operating loss of $815 million). The company's balance sheet shows high leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 9.98 and total debt of $47.8 billion (implied). Free cash flow was negative $1.88 billion over the trailing twelve months, though Q4 2025 operating cash flow of $1.33 billion and free cash flow of -$1.18 billion show improvement from earlier quarters. ROE of 40.98% is inflated by negative equity (book value negative due to accumulated losses), which is a red flag. The current ratio of 1.19 indicates adequate liquidity, but the high debt burden and negative free cash flow raise concerns about financial flexibility.

Quarterly Revenue

$23.9B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+57.11%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

7.57%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$-1.9B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Commercial Airplanes Segment

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Valuation Analysis: Is BA Overvalued?

Since net income is positive (TTM net income of $2.24 billion based on Q4 2025 annualized), the trailing P/E of 87.2x is the primary valuation metric. The forward P/E of 53.1x implies the market expects earnings to grow significantly, but the gap between trailing and forward multiples suggests optimism about a continued recovery. The P/E of 87.2x is extremely high relative to the S&P 500's ~20x, reflecting Boeing's cyclical rebound and low current earnings base. Compared to the Aerospace & Defense industry average P/E of approximately 25x (estimated), Boeing trades at a 249% premium, which is only justified if earnings continue to grow rapidly. The PEG ratio of -0.77 is negative due to negative earnings growth in the past, making it uninformative. The price-to-sales ratio of 1.85x is more reasonable and below the industry average of ~2.0x, suggesting the stock is not overvalued on a sales basis. Historically, Boeing's trailing P/E has ranged from negative (during loss years) to over 100x. The current 87.2x is near the high end of its historical band, indicating the market is pricing in a strong earnings recovery. The forward P/E of 53.1x, while still elevated, implies a significant earnings jump is expected. If the company delivers on consensus EPS estimates of $12.78 for fiscal 2026, the forward P/E would compress to 17.4x, which would be attractive relative to history and peers.

PE

87.2x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -1629x~106x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

28.4x

Enterprise Value Multiple