CBRS

Cerebras

$215.08

+8.34%
Jul 10, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Cerebras Systems Inc. designs and builds the world's largest semiconductor and AI infrastructure for training and inference, operating in the semiconductor industry. As a disruptive innovator, it differentiates itself through its wafer-scale chip technology and integrated supercomputers that simplify complex AI workloads. The current investor narrative centers on its massive $25 billion backlog and partnerships with OpenAI and AWS, which signal strong demand, but concerns about high valuation, disappointing gross margin guidance, and post-IPO volatility have sparked debate about whether the stock is a buy or a trap.

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CBRS 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $215.08
Average Target $215.08
High Target $247.34
Low Target $182.82

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Cerebras's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $279.60 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$279.60

9 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

9

covering this stock

Price Range

$172 - $280

Analyst target range

Buy
2 (22%)
Hold
4 (44%)
Sell
3 (33%)

Cerebras is covered by 9 analysts, with a consensus recommendation leaning bullish. The average estimated EPS is $4.68, with a range of $4.44 to $5.02, and average estimated revenue is $7.18 billion. The average target price is not explicitly provided, but based on the forward P/E of 214x and average EPS of $4.68, the implied target price is approximately $1,001.52, representing a 389% upside from the current price of $204.86. This suggests strong bullish sentiment, though the wide range of EPS estimates indicates uncertainty. The high target of $5.02 EPS implies even greater optimism, while the low target of $4.44 suggests some analysts are more cautious. The lack of institutional ratings data limits insight into recent upgrades or downgrades, but the limited coverage (9 analysts) for a newly public company is typical and implies higher volatility and less efficient price discovery.

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CBRS Technical Analysis

Cerebras has been in a sustained downtrend since its IPO on May 14, 2026, with a 1-year price change of -16.41% (though the stock has only traded for about 7 weeks). The current price of $204.86 sits at 19.4% above its 52-week low of $160.81 and 47.0% below its 52-week high of $386.34, indicating it is closer to the low end of its range. This positioning suggests the stock is in a bearish phase, potentially offering a value opportunity if fundamentals support a recovery, but also risks further downside if negative momentum persists.

Beta

Max Drawdown

-45.8%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$161-$386

Price range past year

Annual Return

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodCBRS ReturnS&P 500
1m-9.4%+4.1%
3m+11.1%
6m+8.8%
1y+20.6%
ytd+10.7%

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CBRS Fundamental Analysis

Revenue trajectory is robust, with estimated revenue of $7.18 billion for the current fiscal year, though quarterly financials are not available. The company has a net margin of 46.6%, indicating strong profitability on a net income basis, but operating margin is deeply negative at -28.5%, reflecting high operating expenses. Gross margin of 39.0% is moderate for a semiconductor company, but recent news highlights disappointing gross margin guidance, suggesting compression. The company is profitable with EPS of $0.0036, but ROE is -41.1%, indicating poor returns on equity. The debt-to-equity ratio of -0.45 suggests negative equity, a red flag for financial health, while the current ratio of 2.14 provides adequate liquidity. Free cash flow data is not available, but the negative PCF ratio of -6661.8 implies negative cash flow from operations, raising concerns about the company's ability to fund growth internally.

Quarterly Revenue

N/A

N/A

Revenue YoY Growth

N/A

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

N/A

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

N/A

Last 12 Months

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Valuation Analysis: Is CBRS Overvalued?

Since net income is positive (EPS > 0), the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E of 758.7x is extremely high, while the forward P/E of 214.0x implies a significant earnings growth expectation. The gap between trailing and forward P/E suggests the market anticipates a sharp earnings increase, but the current multiple still prices in aggressive growth. Compared to the semiconductor industry average P/E of approximately 25x, Cerebras trades at a massive premium of over 2,900% on a trailing basis, which is unjustified by its current profitability. Historical ratios are not available due to the recent IPO, so no historical context can be provided, but the current valuation is clearly at the extreme high end, reflecting optimistic expectations that may be difficult to meet.

PE

758.7x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

N/A

5-Year PE Range 17x~59x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

848.9x

Enterprise Value Multiple