DXCM

Dexcom

$63.12

-1.41%
Apr 13, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
DexCom, Inc. designs and commercializes continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) systems for diabetic patients, operating within the Medical Devices sector of the Healthcare industry. The company is a dominant market leader in the CGM space, distinguished by its focus on real-time glucose data and its pivotal role in enabling automated insulin delivery through integrations with insulin pump manufacturers. The current investor narrative is centered on the company's ability to sustain robust revenue growth in a competitive and evolving market, with recent attention likely focused on quarterly earnings performance, margin trajectory, and the ongoing expansion of its user base and product portfolio.

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DXCM 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $63.12
Average Target $63.12
High Target $72.588
Low Target $53.651999999999994

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Dexcom's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $82.06 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$82.06

8 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

8

covering this stock

Price Range

$51 - $82

Analyst target range

Buy
2 (25%)
Hold
4 (50%)
Sell
2 (25%)

A cohort of 8 analysts provides coverage for DexCom, with recent institutional ratings showing a predominantly bullish bias, including actions like 'Buy' from Citigroup, BTIG, and Truist Securities, and an 'Underweight' from Barclays. The consensus sentiment is positive, with an average revenue estimate of $8.60 billion and an average EPS estimate of $5.02 for the upcoming period, though a specific consensus price target and Buy/Hold/Sell distribution are not provided in the data. The target price range implied by analyst estimates is not explicitly stated, but the range of revenue estimates ($8.48B to $8.87B) and EPS estimates ($4.93 to $5.22) suggests a relatively tight clustering of views, indicating stronger conviction in the company's near-term financial trajectory. The recent pattern of reiterated 'Buy' and 'Outperform' ratings by multiple firms in February and March 2026, following earnings, signals ongoing analyst confidence despite the stock's weak price performance.

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DXCM Technical Analysis

The stock is in a sustained downtrend over the past year, with a 1-year price change of -4.87%, significantly underperforming the S&P 500's 29.52% gain. Currently trading at $64.02, the price sits at approximately 71% of its 52-week range ($54.11 to $89.98), indicating it is closer to the lower bound and may represent a potential value zone, though the persistent downtrend suggests caution is warranted. Recent momentum shows continued weakness, with the stock down 3.45% over the past month and 5.01% over the past three months, aligning with and reinforcing the longer-term bearish trend without signs of meaningful divergence or reversal. Key technical support is clearly defined at the 52-week low of $54.11, while resistance looms near the 52-week high of $89.98. A decisive break below the $54 support would signal a continuation of the downtrend and potentially open the door to further losses. The stock exhibits high volatility relative to the market, with a beta of 1.556, meaning it is approximately 56% more volatile than the SPY, which investors must factor into risk management and position sizing decisions.

Beta

1.56

1.56x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-38.8%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$54-$90

Price range past year

Annual Return

-4.6%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodDXCM ReturnS&P 500
1m-1.7%+3.6%
3m-10.1%-1.1%
6m-3.5%+3.1%
1y-4.6%+28.5%
ytd-5.1%+0.6%

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DXCM Fundamental Analysis

DexCom exhibits a strong and accelerating revenue growth trajectory, with its most recent quarterly revenue (Q4 2025) reaching $1.26 billion, representing a 13.1% year-over-year increase. This growth has been consistent, with sequential quarterly revenues in 2025 rising from $1.04B (Q1) to $1.16B (Q2) to $1.21B (Q3) to the reported $1.26B (Q4), indicating steady business momentum. The company is highly profitable, reporting net income of $267.3 million for Q4 2025 and a trailing twelve-month net margin of 17.94%. Profitability metrics are robust, with a gross margin of 60.1% and an operating margin of 19.56%, reflecting the company's strong pricing power and operational efficiency within its niche. The balance sheet and cash flow position is solid, characterized by a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.51 and a healthy current ratio of 1.88, indicating good short-term liquidity. The company generates substantial cash, with trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $1.08 billion, providing ample internal resources to fund growth initiatives, research and development, and shareholder returns, as evidenced by a significant $312.8 million stock repurchase in Q4 2025. A return on equity of 30.46% underscores efficient use of shareholder capital.

Quarterly Revenue

$1.3B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.13%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.62%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$1.1B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

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Valuation Analysis: Is DXCM Overvalued?

Given the company's positive net income, the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. DexCom trades at a trailing PE of 30.97x, which is expected to compress to a forward PE of 21.39x based on analyst estimates, implying the market is pricing in significant earnings growth for the coming year. Compared to sector averages, DexCom's valuation appears elevated. Its trailing PE of 30.97x and forward PE of 21.39x are at a premium to typical medical device companies, which often trade in the low-to-mid 20s on a forward basis. This premium is likely justified by the company's superior growth profile, high profitability (net margin of 17.94%), and its leadership position in the high-growth CGM market. Historically, the current trailing PE of 30.97x sits below the stock's own historical range observed in the provided data, which has seen peaks above 230x during periods of lower profitability. The current multiple reflects a more mature and profitable phase of the business, trading at a level that, while not cheap, may be sustainable given the company's growth and margin profile, especially when compared to its own history of extreme valuations during its earlier growth phase.

PE

31.0x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -671x~231x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

22.7x

Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure