ENSG

The Ensign Group, Inc.

$170.30

+3.66%
Jun 5, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
The Ensign Group, Inc. is a provider of post-acute healthcare services in the United States, operating skilled nursing, assisted living, home health and hospice, mobile ancillary, and urgent care facilities. The company operates a decentralized model through regional subsidiaries and is a significant player in the skilled nursing facility (SNF) sector, with a distinct operational strategy focused on acquiring and turning around underperforming facilities. The current investor narrative centers on its resilient growth trajectory amid a challenging labor and reimbursement environment for healthcare providers, with recent financial results demonstrating strong revenue growth driven by both organic operations and strategic acquisitions, though the stock has faced significant recent volatility, raising questions about near-term operational pressures and valuation.

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ENSG 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $170.3
Average Target $170.3
High Target $195.845
Low Target $144.755

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on The Ensign Group, Inc.'s 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $221.39 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$221.39

3 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

3

covering this stock

Price Range

$136 - $221

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
1 (33%)
Sell
2 (67%)

Analyst coverage for ENSG is limited, with only 3 analysts providing estimates, indicating it is a mid-cap stock with less widespread institutional research focus. The consensus sentiment among the few covering firms appears cautiously optimistic, with recent actions from RBC Capital (Outperform), Stephens & Co. (Overweight), and UBS (Buy) representing bullish stances, though Truist Securities maintains a Hold rating. The average revenue estimate for the next period is approximately $7.04 billion, and the average EPS estimate is $9.13, with a low estimate of $8.30 and a high of $9.63, but a specific consensus price target and implied upside are not available in the provided data. The wide range between the low and high EPS estimates ($8.30 to $9.63) signals a degree of uncertainty or modeling divergence among analysts, likely stemming from variables like future acquisition pace, labor cost trends, and reimbursement rates; the lack of a broad analyst following can contribute to higher stock price volatility and less efficient price discovery compared to larger, more heavily covered peers.

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ENSG Technical Analysis

ENSG is in a pronounced downtrend from its 52-week highs, with the stock down 20.72% over the last three months and 6.63% over the past month, sharply underperforming the S&P 500 which gained 12.6% and 4.6% over the same periods, respectively. The stock is currently trading at $164.29, which is approximately 24.6% below its 52-week high of $218 and only 21.9% above its 52-week low of $134.79, positioning it in the lower third of its yearly range and suggesting it is approaching a potential value zone after a significant correction. Recent momentum is decisively negative, with the 1-month decline of 6.63% accelerating the 3-month loss of 20.72%, indicating strong selling pressure that has overwhelmed the modest 8.51% gain over the past year and signals a potential breakdown from its previous consolidation range. Key technical support is at the 52-week low of $134.79, while immediate resistance lies near the recent breakdown level around $200; a sustained break below the $165-$170 area could open a path toward the 52-week low, whereas a recovery above $200 would be needed to suggest the downtrend is abating. The stock's beta of 0.73 indicates it is 27% less volatile than the broader market, which has not insulated it from recent sector-specific selling pressure, as evidenced by a maximum drawdown of -23.88%.

Beta

0.68

0.68x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-23.9%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$135-$218

Price range past year

Annual Return

+12.3%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodENSG ReturnS&P 500
1m-3.2%-0.0%
3m-17.8%+8.7%
6m-4.3%+8.0%
1y+12.3%+23.1%
ytd-2.1%+8.2%

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ENSG Fundamental Analysis

ENSG's revenue growth remains robust, with Q4 2025 revenue of $1.36 billion representing a 20.2% year-over-year increase, continuing a multi-quarter trend of strong top-line expansion primarily driven by its core Skilled Services segment, which generated $2.43 billion in the latest annual period. Profitability is solid but shows some margin pressure; the company reported Q4 2025 net income of $95.5 million with a net margin of 7.02%, though the quarterly gross margin of 8.67% is notably lower than the trailing twelve-month gross margin of 15.8%, indicating potential cost inflation or mix shifts are compressing profitability. The balance sheet and cash flow generation are strengths, with a trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $370.7 million providing ample internal funding for growth, a healthy current ratio of 1.42 ensuring good liquidity, and a return on equity (ROE) of 15.4% demonstrating efficient use of shareholder capital, though the debt-to-equity ratio of 1.86 indicates a leveraged but manageable capital structure typical for the capital-intensive healthcare real estate sector.

Quarterly Revenue

$1.4B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.20%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.08%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$370713000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Skilled Services Segment
Standard Bearer Segment

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Valuation Analysis: Is ENSG Overvalued?

Given the positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 29.02x, while the forward P/E is notably lower at 19.72x, indicating the market expects significant earnings growth in the coming year. Compared to sector peers, ENSG's trailing P/E of 29.02x and forward P/E of 19.72x are not directly comparable to a provided industry average, but its Price/Sales ratio of 1.97x and EV/Sales of 2.15x suggest a moderate sales multiple for a growing healthcare services company. The forward P/E discount to the trailing multiple implies embedded growth expectations, but the elevated PEG ratio of 2.06 suggests the stock may be richly valued relative to its projected earnings growth rate. Historically, ENSG's current trailing P/E of 29.02x is above its own multi-quarter range observed in the historical data, which has typically fluctuated between the high-teens and mid-20s, suggesting the stock, despite its recent price decline, is still trading at a premium to its own historical valuation norms, which may limit near-term multiple expansion potential.

PE

29.0x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range 17x~73x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

24.0x

Enterprise Value Multiple