GlobalFoundries
GFS
$63.94
-7.29%
GlobalFoundries is a top-five contract semiconductor manufacturer globally, providing wafer fabrication services for chips used in smartphones, PCs, IoT, data centers, automotive, and industrial applications. Originally the manufacturing arm of AMD, it was spun out in 2009 and is now controlled by Mubadala Investment, the sovereign wealth fund of the UAE. The company focuses on mature process technologies, distinguishing itself from leading-edge foundries like TSMC. Investor attention is currently driven by its strategic acquisition of Synopsys' processor IP business to bolster its Physical AI capabilities, alongside a strong financial recovery with consistent profitability and expanding margins.…
GFS
GlobalFoundries
$63.94
Related headlines
GFS 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on GlobalFoundries's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $83.12 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$83.12
11 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
11
covering this stock
Price Range
$51 - $83
Analyst target range
GlobalFoundries is covered by 11 analysts, with a consensus leaning neutral. The distribution includes 2 Buy/Outperform, 7 Neutral, and 2 Underperform/Sell ratings. The average analyst target price is not explicitly provided, but based on the estimated EPS of $3.12 and forward P/E of 27.31x, the implied target is approximately $85.20, representing 23.5% upside from the current price of $68.97. The consensus is cautiously optimistic, with a slight bullish tilt. The target range is wide: low estimate of $2.993 EPS implies a price of $81.75 (18.5% upside) and high estimate of $3.444 EPS implies $94.05 (36.4% upside). The wide spread indicates high uncertainty about the company's future growth trajectory. Recent ratings actions show stability: Citigroup, Wedbush, and Goldman Sachs maintain Neutral, while Needham and Baird remain Buy/Outperform. No recent downgrades or upgrades suggest a wait-and-see approach. The high target assumes successful integration of the Synopsys IP acquisition and continued margin expansion, while the low target prices in potential cyclical headwinds in the semiconductor industry.
GFS Technical Analysis
GlobalFoundries is in a strong uptrend, with the stock up 67.3% over the past year. The current price of $68.97 sits at 62.7% of its 52-week range ($31.51–$92.55), suggesting the stock is in the upper half of its range but not overextended. This positioning indicates sustained bullish momentum, though the recent pullback from the June high of $89.67 warrants caution. Short-term momentum has decelerated sharply: the stock is down 7.8% over the past month but up 41.0% over the past three months. This divergence—strong three-month gains followed by a one-month decline—could signal a temporary pullback within a larger uptrend rather than a reversal. The stock's beta of 1.759 implies it is 75.9% more volatile than the S&P 500, amplifying both upside and downside moves. Key support lies near the 52-week low of $31.51, while resistance is at the 52-week high of $92.55. A breakout above $92.55 would signal a continuation of the uptrend, while a breakdown below $68.97 (current price) could test the $60 area. The elevated beta suggests aggressive position sizing is appropriate for risk-tolerant investors.
Beta
1.76
1.76x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-28.9%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$32-$93
Price range past year
Annual Return
+55.1%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | GFS Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | -21.4% | +1.0% |
| 3m | +32.1% | +7.9% |
| 6m | +54.6% | +8.5% |
| 1y | +55.1% | +20.1% |
| ytd | +73.4% | +9.9% |
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GFS Fundamental Analysis
Revenue has been steadily growing, with the most recent quarter (Q4 2025) reporting $1.83 billion, flat year-over-year but up from $1.585 billion in Q1 2025. The multi-quarter trend shows sequential growth from Q1 2025 ($1.585B) to Q4 2025 ($1.83B), indicating a recovery trajectory. The company's revenue is primarily driven by wafer fabrication ($5.093B annually) and engineering services ($454M). The growth is supported by stable demand in automotive and IoT markets. GlobalFoundries is profitable, with net income of $199 million in Q4 2025 and a trailing twelve-month net income of $885 million. Gross margin improved to 28.85% in Q4 2025 from 22.40% in Q1 2025, reflecting better cost management and mix. Operating margin expanded to 13.93% in Q4 2025 from 9.53% in Q1 2025, indicating operational leverage. The company's net margin of 10.87% is healthy for a foundry, though below industry leaders. The balance sheet is strong: debt-to-equity is only 0.14, and the current ratio is 2.62, indicating ample liquidity. Free cash flow was $166 million in Q4 2025, and trailing twelve-month FCF reached $1.009 billion, providing internal funding for growth. ROE of 7.42% is modest but improving, reflecting efficient capital use.
Quarterly Revenue
$1.8B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
+0.00%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
28.85%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$1.0B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is GFS Overvalued?
Since net income is positive, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 21.96x, while the forward P/E is 27.31x, implying the market expects earnings to grow. The gap between trailing and forward P/E suggests modest growth expectations. Compared to the semiconductor industry average P/E of approximately 22x, GlobalFoundries trades at a slight premium (trailing P/E of 21.96x vs. industry 22x, essentially in line). However, its forward P/E of 27.31x is a 24% premium to the industry forward average of 22x, reflecting optimism about future earnings growth. Historically, the stock's trailing P/E has ranged from 11.0x (Q4 2022) to 192.7x (Q4 2021). The current 21.96x is near the lower end of its historical range, suggesting the stock is not overvalued relative to its own history. This low multiple relative to history could indicate that the market is not fully pricing in the company's recent margin expansion and growth trajectory, presenting a potential value opportunity.
PE
22.0x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Low-End
5-Year PE Range -49x~1034x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
8.7x
Enterprise Value Multiple

