INTU

Intuit

$289.76

+5.38%
Jul 13, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Intuit Inc. provides financial management and tax preparation software for small businesses, consumers, and accounting professionals, primarily through its QuickBooks, TurboTax, Credit Karma, and Mailchimp platforms. The company is the dominant market leader in small-to-midsize business accounting and DIY tax filing in the United States, leveraging its ecosystem to cross-sell and retain users. The current investor narrative centers on a major AI-driven restructuring, including a 17% workforce reduction and warnings about declining TurboTax users, which has sparked debate about whether the company can successfully transition its SaaS model amid competitive threats and a sharp stock sell-off.

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INTU 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $289.76
Average Target $289.76
High Target $333.22
Low Target $246.30

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Intuit's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $376.69 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$376.69

11 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

11

covering this stock

Price Range

$232 - $377

Analyst target range

Buy
3 (27%)
Hold
5 (46%)
Sell
3 (27%)

Intuit is covered by 11 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish: the distribution includes 5 Buy, 4 Outperform, and 2 Neutral ratings, with no Sell recommendations. The average analyst target price is not explicitly provided, but based on the estimated EPS of $40.43 and a forward P/E of 10.1x, the implied target is approximately $408.34, representing 48.5% upside from the current price of $274.96. The consensus recommendation is effectively a Buy, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term prospects despite near-term headwinds. The estimated EPS range is $39.48 to $41.74, and the revenue range is $34.40 billion to $35.91 billion, indicating moderate uncertainty. The high target of $41.74 EPS implies a price of $421.57 at the current forward P/E, while the low target of $39.48 EPS implies $398.75. The tight spread in estimates suggests relatively high conviction among analysts. Recent ratings actions include upgrades from Rothschild & Co (Neutral to Buy) and maintained Buy/Outperform ratings from Citigroup, Mizuho, RBC Capital, and others, indicating that the sell-off has not shaken institutional confidence. However, the wide gap between the current price and analyst targets highlights the market's skepticism about the AI transition and TurboTax erosion.

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INTU Technical Analysis

Intuit is in a severe downtrend, with the stock price falling 63.2% over the past year and currently trading at 33.8% of its 52-week range ($252.84 low to $813.70 high). The current price of $274.96 is just 8.7% above the 52-week low, indicating deep bearish sentiment and positioning near the bottom of the range, which could signal either a value opportunity or a falling knife. The 1-year price change of -63.2% contrasts sharply with the S&P 500's gain of 20.6%, highlighting extreme relative weakness. Short-term momentum remains negative but shows some deceleration: the 1-month change is -3.3% versus the 3-month change of -21.7%, suggesting the pace of decline is slowing. However, the 1-month relative strength of -7.3% versus the S&P 500 indicates continued underperformance, and the stock is still making lower lows, with no clear reversal pattern. The 52-week low at $252.84 serves as critical support; a breakdown below this level could accelerate selling toward the next psychological round number. Resistance is at the 52-week high of $813.70, but more immediate resistance lies near the $300 area. Beta is 1.0, meaning the stock has historically moved in line with the market, but the recent drawdown of -68.4% far exceeds market declines, reflecting company-specific risk.

Beta

1.00

1.00x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-68.4%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$253-$814

Price range past year

Annual Return

-61.3%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodINTU ReturnS&P 500
1m+4.7%+1.0%
3m-21.0%+7.9%
6m-48.9%+8.5%
1y-61.3%+20.1%
ytd-54.0%+9.9%

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INTU Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth remains solid but is decelerating: the most recent quarter (Q2 FY2026, ended Jan 31, 2026) reported revenue of $4.651 billion, up 17.4% year-over-year, compared to 17.2% growth in the prior-year quarter. However, the sequential trend shows a slowdown from the Q3 FY2025 peak of $7.754 billion (which included tax season strength). The Global Business Solutions segment generated $3.164 billion in revenue, while the Consumer segment contributed $1.487 billion, indicating that business solutions are the primary growth driver. The deceleration and the company's warning about declining TurboTax users raise concerns about future growth sustainability. Profitability is robust: net income for Q2 FY2026 was $693 million, with a net margin of 14.9%, and gross margin remains high at 78.9%. However, operating margin compressed to 18.4% from 47.9% in the prior-year Q3 (which benefited from tax season scale), reflecting higher R&D and S&M spending as the company invests in AI. The company is profitable on a trailing twelve-month basis, with net income of $2.49 per diluted share, but the trajectory shows margin pressure from restructuring costs. The balance sheet is healthy: debt-to-equity is 0.34, and the current ratio is 1.36, indicating adequate liquidity. Free cash flow for the trailing twelve months is $6.839 billion, providing ample cash for dividends and buybacks. However, the free cash flow yield is low relative to the stock price, and the company has been using debt to fund share repurchases, with $933 million in stock buybacks in Q2 FY2026 alone.

Quarterly Revenue

$4.7B

2026-01

Revenue YoY Growth

+17.4%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

78.9%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$6.8B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Consumer Segment
Global Business Solutions Segment

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Valuation Analysis: Is INTU Overvalued?

Since net income is positive, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 56.8x, while the forward P/E is 10.1x, implying that the market expects a dramatic earnings recovery. The wide gap between trailing and forward P/E reflects the current depressed earnings due to restructuring costs and the expectation of normalization. Compared to the software industry average P/E of approximately 30x, Intuit's trailing P/E of 56.8x represents an 89% premium, but the forward P/E of 10.1x is a 66% discount, suggesting the market is pricing in a sharp earnings rebound. Historically, Intuit's trailing P/E has ranged from 15x to 400x over the past five years, with the current 56.8x near the middle of that range. However, the forward P/E of 10.1x is near the low end of its historical forward band, indicating that the stock is pricing in pessimistic near-term expectations. The PEG ratio of 1.86x suggests the stock is fairly valued relative to expected earnings growth, but this depends on the accuracy of growth estimates.

PE

56.8x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -2266x~751x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

38.0x

Enterprise Value Multiple