JBHT

J. B. Hunt

$282.61

+2.23%
Jul 9, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
J.B. Hunt Transport Services is a leading North American surface transportation company, providing intermodal, dedicated trucking, truckload, final-mile delivery, and brokerage services. It is one of the largest intermodal providers in the U.S., leveraging rail partnerships for long-haul container movement, which differentiates it as an asset-heavy, scale-driven logistics operator. The current investor narrative centers on the company's recovery from a freight recession, with improving volumes and pricing driving a 87% share price surge over the past year, while Amazon's entry into third-party logistics poses a structural threat to the industry.

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JBHT 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $282.61
Average Target $282.61
High Target $325.00
Low Target $240.22

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on J. B. Hunt's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $367.39 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$367.39

7 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

7

covering this stock

Price Range

$226 - $367

Analyst target range

Buy
2 (29%)
Hold
3 (43%)
Sell
2 (29%)

JBHT is covered by 7 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish. The average EPS estimate for the current fiscal year is $15.45, with a range of $14.19 to $17.15. The average revenue estimate is $18.05 billion. While specific price targets are not provided, the EPS estimates imply a forward P/E of ~18.5x based on the current price, suggesting potential upside if earnings materialize. The consensus recommendation is likely a Buy/Overweight based on the institutional ratings, which include multiple Outperform and Buy ratings from firms like Evercore ISI and BofA. The implied upside from current price to the average target (if available) would be positive, but data is limited. The target range (low to high) for EPS is $14.19 to $17.15, indicating a spread of ~21%, reflecting moderate uncertainty. The high end assumes accelerating growth and margin expansion, while the low end factors in continued freight headwinds. Recent ratings have been stable, with no downgrades, suggesting analyst conviction is firm. The wide EPS range implies that outcomes depend on the pace of recovery, but the overall sentiment is constructive.

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JBHT Technical Analysis

JBHT is in a sustained uptrend, with the 1-year price change of +86.79% significantly outperforming the S&P 500's +19.1%. The stock is trading at $285.83, which is 96.9% of its 52-week range ($130.12 low to $294.98 high), indicating it is near the top of its range and reflecting strong bullish momentum. This positioning suggests the market is pricing in continued positive fundamentals, though it also raises the risk of overextension. Over the past 1-month, the stock gained 3.72%, while the 3-month change is +33.0%, showing accelerating short-term momentum that aligns with the longer-term uptrend. The 1-month relative strength versus the S&P 500 is +4.97%, confirming outperformance. This consistent upward trajectory across time frames suggests a robust trend without significant divergence. The 52-week high of $294.98 serves as immediate resistance; a breakout above this level would signal further upside potential, while the 52-week low of $130.12 is a distant support. The stock's beta of 1.294 indicates it is 29.4% more volatile than the market, meaning it amplifies market moves, which is important for risk management. The current price is near resistance, and a pullback toward the $260 area (recent support) would be a normal consolidation within the uptrend.

Beta

1.29

1.29x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-15.9%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$130-$295

Price range past year

Annual Return

+85.1%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodJBHT ReturnS&P 500
1m-1.6%+2.0%
3m+24.5%+10.6%
6m+36.6%+8.3%
1y+85.1%+20.4%
ytd+43.6%+10.2%

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JBHT Fundamental Analysis

Revenue in Q4 2025 was $3.097 billion, down 1.58% year-over-year, marking a deceleration from the prior year's levels. However, the multi-quarter trend shows stabilization: Q3 2025 revenue was $3.053 billion, Q2 $2.928 billion, and Q1 $2.921 billion, indicating a gradual recovery from the freight downturn. The intermodal segment (48% of sales) is the primary driver, benefiting from rail partnerships and improving demand. The slight YoY decline suggests the recovery is still nascent, but sequential growth is encouraging for the investment case. Net income in Q4 2025 was $181.1 million, with a net margin of 5.85%, up from 4.93% in Q4 2024, showing improving profitability. Gross margin was 10.99%, compressed from 16.86% a year earlier due to higher costs, but operating margin improved to 7.96% from 6.58%, reflecting better cost control. The company is profitable and margins are expanding, which is positive for the investment thesis. The balance sheet is healthy: debt-to-equity is 0.53, and the current ratio is 0.83, indicating adequate liquidity. Free cash flow (TTM) is $947.6 million, providing ample capacity for dividends and share buybacks. ROE is 16.78%, demonstrating strong returns on equity. The company generates sufficient cash to fund operations and growth internally, reducing reliance on external financing.

Quarterly Revenue

$3.1B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

-1.58%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

10.99%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$947585000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Fuel Surcharge
Service Excluding Fuel Surcharge

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Valuation Analysis: Is JBHT Overvalued?

Since net income is positive, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 31.75x, while the forward P/E is 31.01x, implying the market expects stable earnings growth. The narrow gap between trailing and forward multiples suggests limited near-term growth expectations are priced in. Compared to the industry average (not provided, but typical for integrated freight & logistics is ~20-25x), JBHT trades at a premium. Its P/E of 31.75x is likely above the sector median, reflecting its market leadership and scale. The premium is justified by its strong ROE (16.78%) and improving margins, but it leaves less room for error. Historically, JBHT's trailing P/E has ranged from ~15x to ~40x over the past five years. The current 31.75x is above the midpoint of that range, indicating the market is pricing in optimistic expectations. This suggests the stock is not cheap, but the premium is supported by its competitive position and recovery trajectory.

PE

31.8x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range 15x~40x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

13.2x

Enterprise Value Multiple