JEF

Jefferies & Company

$52.64

-9.15%
Jun 25, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. is a full-service investment banking and capital markets firm operating within the Financial Services sector, specifically in Capital Markets. The company has established itself as a significant player in the North American middle market, having grown its market share considerably over the past decade through its core investment banking business. The current investor narrative revolves around its role as a stable fintech and capital markets player, with recent news highlighting its involvement in M&A and IPO deal flow, positioning it as a beneficiary of steady capital markets activity amidst a volatile macroeconomic environment.

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JEF 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $52.64
Average Target $52.64
High Target $60.535999999999994
Low Target $44.744

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Jefferies & Company's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $68.43 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$68.43

2 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

2

covering this stock

Price Range

$42 - $68

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
1 (50%)
Sell
1 (50%)

Insufficient analyst coverage available. Only two analysts are reflected in the provided data, which is a minimal sample size for deriving a robust consensus. This limited coverage typically indicates the stock is a mid-cap name with less institutional research focus, which can lead to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery as news and events may have a magnified impact. The provided institutional ratings show recent actions from firms like Morgan Stanley upgrading to Overweight and Oppenheimer maintaining Outperform, indicating a generally positive but thinly-followed sentiment among the few covering the name.

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JEF Technical Analysis

The stock is in a strong recovery phase from a significant drawdown, having gained 69.58% over the past three months, which sharply contrasts with its 6-month decline of -0.55%. Currently trading at $61.66, the price sits at approximately 87% of its 52-week range (high: $71.04, low: $35.53), indicating it is approaching the upper bounds of its recent trading band and suggesting momentum but also potential resistance ahead. Recent momentum is exceptionally strong, with a 15.64% gain over the past month, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's -0.08% return, signaling a powerful short-term reversal from the lows seen in March 2026. The stock's 1-year return of 15.06% underperforms the S&P 500's 22.86%, highlighting that despite the recent surge, the longer-term trend has only recently turned positive after a period of severe weakness. Key technical support is anchored at the 52-week low of $35.53, while immediate resistance is at the 52-week high of $71.04; a breakout above this level would confirm a new bullish phase, whereas a failure could see a retest of the $50-$55 consolidation zone. The stock's volatility is evident from its maximum drawdown of -48.81%, and while a specific beta is not provided, the dramatic price swings suggest it carries higher-than-market risk, which is critical for position sizing.

Beta

Max Drawdown

-48.8%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$36-$71

Price range past year

Annual Return

-5.9%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodJEF ReturnS&P 500
1m+1.3%-2.2%
3m+32.1%+15.8%
6m-17.6%+6.4%
1y-5.9%+20.9%
ytd-17.1%+7.7%

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JEF Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth has been positive but volatile, with the most recent quarterly revenue of $2.87 billion representing a 16.11% year-over-year increase, though this follows a quarter (Q4 2025) with negative EBITDA of -$1.44 billion, indicating significant earnings volatility tied to capital markets cycles. Segment data shows Investment Banking ($1.19 billion) and Interest Revenue ($832 million) as the largest contributors, suggesting the firm's performance is heavily dependent on deal flow and interest rate environments. The company is profitable on a net income basis, reporting $175.2 million for the last quarter with a gross margin of 70.25%, which is healthy for a financial services firm; however, operating margin was a much narrower 6.34%, reflecting the high-cost structure of the business. Comparing the recent net margin of 6.10% to the trailing twelve-month figure of 6.56% shows relative stability, but the dramatic swing in EBITDA from -$1.44 billion to +$269 million quarter-over-quarter underscores the inherent earnings volatility in this industry. The balance sheet shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.25, indicating a leveraged capital structure typical for financial firms, while the current ratio of 2.43 suggests strong short-term liquidity. A significant concern is the trailing twelve-month free cash flow of -$1.71 billion, which implies the company is consuming cash to fund operations and growth, potentially relying on external financing or balance sheet assets; the return on equity of 6.72% is modest, reflecting the challenges in generating high returns on its leveraged equity base.

Quarterly Revenue

$2.9B

2026-02

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.16%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.70%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$-1.7B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Interest Revenue
Other Sources Of Revenue, Miscellaneous
Principal Transactions Revenue
Asset Management
Commissions And Other Fees
Investment Banking
Product and Service, Other
Real Estate

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Valuation Analysis: Is JEF Overvalued?

Given a positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The trailing PE is 17.25x, while the forward PE is 13.62x; the lower forward multiple suggests the market anticipates earnings growth, with analysts projecting forward EPS of $4.97. Comparing to industry averages is challenging without explicit sector multiples in the data, but a trailing PE in the mid-teens is generally in line with or slightly below many traditional financial services peers, though potentially at a discount to higher-growth fintech names. Historically, the stock's own PE ratio has fluctuated significantly, from as low as 6.64x in early 2022 to over 147x in mid-2023 during an earnings trough; the current 17.25x is near the middle of this wide historical range, suggesting the market is pricing in a recovery but not extreme optimism. The Price-to-Sales ratio of 1.13 and Price-to-Book ratio of 1.16 further indicate a valuation that is not demanding relative to the company's revenue and asset base, potentially offering a margin of safety if the earnings recovery continues.

PE

19.4x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range 6x~147x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

20.7x

Enterprise Value Multiple