Moog Inc.
MOG-A
$381.52
-7.16%
Moog Inc. is a global designer and manufacturer of high-precision motion and fluid control systems, serving aerospace, defense, and industrial markets with products ranging from flight controls and missile steering to industrial automation and medical pumps. As a niche but critical supplier, Moog holds a strong competitive position in specialized control systems, often as a sole-source provider for mission-critical applications. The current investor narrative centers on robust defense and commercial aerospace demand, driving record revenue and margin expansion, while the stock has surged over 130% in the past year on strong earnings and a favorable industry backdrop. Attention is also on the company's ability to sustain growth amid supply chain constraints and its strategic focus on high-margin aftermarket and space programs.…
MOG-A
Moog Inc.
$381.52
MOG-A 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Moog Inc.'s 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $446.40 and implied upside of +17.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$446.40
0 analysts
Implied Upside
+17.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
—
covering this stock
Price Range
$405 - $520
Analyst target range
Analyst coverage is limited to 5 analysts, with a consensus recommendation of 'Buy' (mean rating 1.8, where 1 is Strong Buy and 5 is Sell). The average target price is $446.40, implying a modest upside of 1.2% from the current price of $441.21. The low target is $405.00, suggesting a potential downside of -8.2%, while the high target of $520.00 implies a potential upside of 17.9%. The narrow spread between the low and high targets (about 28%) indicates relatively high conviction among analysts, though the small number of analysts limits the robustness of the consensus.
MOG-A Technical Analysis
Moog's stock is in a powerful uptrend, with a 1-year price change of +131.9% and a current price of $441.21, representing 99.7% of its 52-week range (low $187.80, high $442.58). This positioning near the highs indicates strong momentum and investor confidence, though it also suggests the stock may be overextended in the short term. The 6-month change of +36.2% and YTD change of +76.9% confirm a sustained bullish trend, with the stock consistently making higher highs and higher lows.
Beta
0.98
0.98x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-33.2%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$190-$449
Price range past year
Annual Return
+100.3%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | MOG-A Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | -5.8% | +1.9% |
| 3m | +19.7% | +2.3% |
| 6m | +10.7% | +10.6% |
| 1y | +100.3% | +19.5% |
| ytd | +53.1% | +11.8% |
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MOG-A Fundamental Analysis
Revenue growth is accelerating, with the most recent quarter (Q2 FY2026, ended March 28, 2026) showing $1,051.9 million in revenue, up 12.5% year-over-year. This follows sequential growth from Q1's $1,100.3 million and Q4 FY2025's $1,049.1 million, indicating a robust demand environment across all segments. The Commercial Aircraft segment contributed $247.0 million, Industrial $255.9 million, Space and Defense $313.6 million, and Military Aircraft $235.5 million, with Space and Defense leading growth. The company's revenue trajectory is clearly upward, driven by defense spending and commercial aerospace recovery, which bodes well for future quarters.
Quarterly Revenue
$1.1B
2026-03
Revenue YoY Growth
+12.5%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
26.1%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$203980000.0B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is MOG-A Overvalued?
Given positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E stands at 27.6x, while the forward P/E is 37.4x, implying the market expects earnings to decline slightly or that the forward estimate is conservative. This gap suggests investors are pricing in near-term earnings pressure, possibly from increased investments or costs. The PEG ratio of 1.90x indicates the stock is not cheap relative to its growth rate, but it is not excessively overvalued either.
PE
27.6x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
High-End
5-Year PE Range 13x~30x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
15.1x
Enterprise Value Multiple