BioMarin Pharmaceutical
BMRN
$57.29
+8.63%
BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. is a global biotechnology company focused on developing and commercializing therapies for rare genetic diseases, operating within the healthcare sector's biotechnology industry. The company has established itself as a leader in enzyme replacement therapies and gene therapies, with a portfolio of eight approved treatments for conditions like achondroplasia and phenylketonuria, distinguishing it as a specialized player in the orphan drug market. The current investor narrative is heavily driven by recent positive clinical trial data for its pipeline, particularly VOXZOGO in hypochondroplasia, which has sparked optimism about future growth avenues, though this is juxtaposed against ongoing debates regarding the sustainability of its revenue growth and path to consistent profitability as evidenced by recent quarterly volatility.…
BMRN
BioMarin Pharmaceutical
$57.29
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BMRN 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on BioMarin Pharmaceutical's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $74.48 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$74.48
9 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
9
covering this stock
Price Range
$46 - $74
Analyst target range
The stock is covered by 9 analysts, with recent institutional ratings from firms like B of A Securities (Buy), Barclays (Overweight), and Guggenheim (Buy) indicating a predominantly bullish sentiment, though HC Wainwright maintains a Neutral stance. The consensus implies a positive outlook, with an average EPS estimate of $8.86 for the coming year, ranging from a low of $8.42 to a high of $10.15, and an average revenue estimate of $5.42 billion; however, specific price targets and an implied upside percentage are not available in the provided data, limiting the precision of the consensus signal. The wide range in EPS estimates, with a high of $10.15 and a low of $8.42, reflects meaningful uncertainty among analysts regarding the company's near-term earnings power, likely tied to the volatility in quarterly results and pipeline outcomes; the recent pattern of analyst actions shows no downgrades, with reaffirmations of Buy or Overweight ratings in March 2026, suggesting maintained confidence following recent clinical news.
BMRN Technical Analysis
The stock is in a pronounced downtrend, with a 1-year price change of -6.76% and a more severe 3-month decline of -15.59%, significantly underperforming the broader market. Currently trading at $54.09, the price sits just 9.3% above its 52-week low of $49.26 and 18.4% below its 52-week high of $66.28, positioning it in the lower quartile of its annual range, which suggests the stock is in a phase of significant weakness and may be approaching oversold territory, though it also indicates substantial downside momentum. Recent momentum is decidedly negative, with the stock down 11.08% over the past month, a stark contrast to the S&P 500's gain of 4.84%, resulting in a severe relative strength reading of -4.95; this sharp short-term underperformance, coupled with a beta of just 0.229, indicates the stock's recent decline is largely idiosyncratic and not driven by broader market moves, signaling company-specific concerns. Key technical support is clearly defined at the 52-week low of $49.26, while resistance is at the recent high of $66.28; a decisive break below the $49.26 support could trigger a new leg down, whereas a recovery above the $66.28 level would be needed to signal a trend reversal, with the stock's low beta of 0.229 indicating it has been far less volatile than the market, which may limit the magnitude of any potential rebound.
Beta
0.23
0.23x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-22.5%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$49-$66
Price range past year
Annual Return
-2.2%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | BMRN Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +5.7% | +6.3% |
| 3m | -7.2% | +10.3% |
| 6m | +2.4% | +10.7% |
| 1y | -2.2% | +28.2% |
| ytd | -3.6% | +10.9% |
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BMRN Fundamental Analysis
Revenue growth has been volatile but showed a strong year-over-year increase of 17.03% in the most recent quarter (Q4 2025), reaching $874.57 million; however, this follows a pattern of inconsistency, as quarterly revenue has fluctuated between $648.83 million and $874.57 million over the past two years, with the Q4 2025 figure representing a sequential decline from the prior quarter's $776.13 million, indicating potential lumpiness in product sales rather than a smooth growth trajectory. Profitability is highly erratic, with the company reporting a net loss of -$46.57 million and a gross margin of 66.26% in Q4 2025, a sharp deterioration from the net income of $240.53 million and an 81.82% gross margin in Q2 2025; this swing from significant profit to loss within two quarters highlights the operational volatility and challenges in maintaining consistent margins, with the trailing twelve-month net margin standing at 10.83%. The balance sheet remains strong with a robust current ratio of 5.21 and a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.106, indicating ample liquidity and minimal financial leverage; furthermore, the company generated substantial free cash flow of $724.96 million on a TTM basis, providing strong internal funding for its R&D pipeline and operations without reliance on external capital, supported by a return on equity of 5.73%.
Quarterly Revenue
$874565000.0B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
+0.17%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
+0.66%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$724956000.0B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is BMRN Overvalued?
Given the company's positive trailing twelve-month net income, the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The stock trades at a trailing PE of 32.67x, which is significantly higher than its forward PE of 8.40x, indicating the market expects a substantial earnings recovery in the coming year, as implied by the forward EPS estimate of $8.86. Compared to the biotechnology sector, BioMarin's trailing PE of 32.67x appears elevated against typical industry averages which often range in the 20s, suggesting a premium valuation; this premium may be partially justified by its niche leadership in rare diseases and a robust pipeline, but it also prices in significant future growth expectations that must be realized. Historically, the stock's own PE ratio has been extremely volatile, ranging from deeply negative figures during loss-making quarters to over 200x during periods of minimal profitability; the current trailing PE of 32.67x is towards the lower end of its historical spectrum when profitable, suggesting the market's expectations may be more tempered relative to past optimism, but still requires flawless execution to justify.
PE
32.7x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
High-End
5-Year PE Range -19329x~295x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
18.7x
Enterprise Value Multiple

