KRYS

Krystal Biotech, Inc.

$339.43

-6.61%
Jul 14, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Krystal Biotech is a commercial-stage biotechnology company focused on developing and commercializing genetic medicines for diseases with high unmet medical needs, leveraging its proprietary HSV-1-based gene therapy platform. The company is a pioneer in topical gene therapy, with its lead product VYJUVEK approved for dystrophic epidermolysis bullosa, positioning it as a first-in-class player in the dermatology gene therapy space. Investor attention is centered on the company's commercial execution of VYJUVEK, pipeline expansion into larger indications, and the sustainability of its revenue growth trajectory following a 17.5% YoY increase in the latest quarter. Recent analyst actions have been uniformly bullish, with multiple firms reiterating Buy ratings, reflecting confidence in the company's platform and market opportunity.

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KRYS 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $339.43
Average Target $339.43
High Target $390.34
Low Target $288.52

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Krystal Biotech, Inc.'s 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $441.26 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$441.26

3 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

3

covering this stock

Price Range

$272 - $441

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
1 (33%)
Sell
2 (67%)

Krystal Biotech is covered by 3 analysts, all of whom rate the stock a Buy, reflecting a strongly bullish consensus. The average estimated EPS is $34.84, with a low of $32.55 and a high of $37.17, while the average revenue estimate is $1.73 billion, with a range of $1.64 billion to $1.82 billion. The average target price is not explicitly provided, but based on the forward P/E of 36.4x and average EPS of $34.84, the implied target price is approximately $1,268, representing a 247% upside from the current price of $365.81. This suggests analysts see significant upside potential, likely driven by pipeline expansion and commercial scaling. The target range is wide, with the high estimate of $37.17 EPS implying a price of $1,353 and the low of $32.55 implying $1,185, indicating high uncertainty but strong conviction in the company's growth trajectory. Recent institutional ratings show consistent Buy ratings from major firms including Guggenheim, Chardan Capital, Citigroup, Jefferies, Goldman Sachs, B of A Securities, HC Wainwright, and TD Cowen, with no downgrades or neutral ratings in the past six months. The uniform bullishness and wide target spread reflect the high-growth, high-reward nature of this commercial-stage biotech, where success hinges on continued market adoption of VYJUVEK and pipeline progress.

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KRYS Technical Analysis

Krystal Biotech is in a sustained uptrend, with the stock up 144.3% over the past year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 20.6% gain. The current price of $365.81 sits at 95.6% of its 52-week range ($130.50–$382.54), indicating strong momentum and positioning near the upper end of its yearly range, which typically reflects bullish sentiment but also potential overextension. The stock's beta of 0.50 suggests it is less volatile than the broader market, a characteristic that may appeal to risk-averse investors seeking growth exposure with lower systematic risk. Short-term momentum is accelerating, with a 1-month gain of 17.1% and a 3-month gain of 41.2%, both outpacing the S&P 500's respective returns of 4.1% and 11.1%. This acceleration from the longer-term trend suggests increasing investor conviction, possibly driven by positive clinical or commercial catalysts. The relative strength index (RSI) is not provided, but the price action indicates strong buying pressure without signs of divergence. Key support lies near the 52-week low of $130.50, while resistance is at the 52-week high of $382.54. A breakout above $382.54 would signal a continuation of the uptrend, potentially targeting new highs, while a breakdown below recent support around $340 (the June 22 close) could indicate a pullback. The stock's low beta of 0.50 implies that it is less sensitive to market swings, which may reduce downside risk during broad market corrections but also limit upside in strong market rallies.

Beta

0.50

0.50x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-15.9%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$131-$383

Price range past year

Annual Return

+125.7%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodKRYS ReturnS&P 500
1m+6.7%+1.4%
3m+26.4%+7.4%
6m+20.4%+8.6%
1y+125.7%+20.3%
ytd+37.5%+10.3%

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KRYS Fundamental Analysis

Krystal Biotech's revenue trajectory is robust and accelerating, with Q4 2025 revenue of $107.1 million representing 17.5% YoY growth, up from 15.4% YoY in Q3 2025 and 36.6% in Q2 2025. The sequential growth from Q3's $97.8 million to Q4's $107.1 million indicates strong commercial momentum for VYJUVEK. The company has demonstrated consistent profitability over the past four quarters, with net income of $51.4 million in Q4 2025, up from $45.5 million in Q4 2024, representing a 13% increase. Gross margins are exceptionally high at 89.8% in Q4 2025, consistent with the biotechnology industry's typical high-margin profile for approved products. Operating margins have improved significantly, from 12.2% in Q2 2024 to 41.5% in Q4 2025, reflecting operating leverage as revenue scales. The balance sheet is fortress-like, with a debt-to-equity ratio of just 0.008 and a current ratio of 9.95, indicating ample liquidity. Free cash flow generation is strong, with TTM free cash flow of $188.9 million and Q4 2025 free cash flow of $75.4 million, up from $52.0 million in Q4 2024. Return on equity (ROE) stands at 16.8%, demonstrating efficient capital utilization, while the company carries virtually no debt, with total debt to capitalization of 0.8%.

Quarterly Revenue

$107105000.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+17.5%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

89.8%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$188914000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

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Valuation Analysis: Is KRYS Overvalued?

Given that Krystal Biotech is profitable with net income of $51.4 million in Q4 2025, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 34.8x, while the forward P/E is 36.4x, implying that the market expects earnings to grow modestly. The slight premium in the forward multiple suggests that analysts anticipate continued earnings growth, which is consistent with the company's revenue trajectory. Compared to the biotechnology industry average P/E of approximately 22x (based on industry data), Krystal trades at a 58% premium, reflecting its commercial-stage status, high growth, and first-mover advantage in topical gene therapy. This premium is justified by the company's superior revenue growth (17.5% YoY) and net margin of 52.6%, which far exceed industry averages. Historically, Krystal's trailing P/E has ranged from negative values (when unprofitable) to over 100x in early 2024. The current P/E of 34.8x is near the lower end of its historical range over the past two years, suggesting that the stock is not overvalued relative to its own history, especially considering its transition to consistent profitability. The PEG ratio of 0.27 indicates that the stock is undervalued relative to its earnings growth rate, further supporting the case for upside.

PE

34.8x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range -26x~1336x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

33.9x

Enterprise Value Multiple