PTC

Philtrust Bank

$139.19

-3.55%
Apr 9, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
PTC, Inc. is a global technology company that provides high-end computer-assisted design (CAD), product lifecycle management (PLM), and augmented reality (AR) software solutions primarily for industrial manufacturers. The company is a major player in parametric design and serves a blue-chip customer base, including names like Caterpillar and Thermo Fisher, positioning it as a critical enabler of digital transformation in the industrial sector. The current investor narrative centers on the company's transition to a subscription-based model and its growth trajectory, which has been strong but is now under scrutiny as the stock has faced significant pressure, likely reflecting concerns over macroeconomic headwinds impacting manufacturing spending and competitive dynamics in the enterprise software space.

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PTC 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $139.19
Average Target $139.19
High Target $160.06849999999997
Low Target $118.3115

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Philtrust Bank's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $180.95 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$180.95

5 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

5

covering this stock

Price Range

$111 - $181

Analyst target range

Buy
1 (20%)
Hold
2 (40%)
Sell
2 (40%)

Analyst coverage for PTC appears limited in the provided dataset, with only 5 analysts contributing to estimates, and no explicit consensus price target, recommendation distribution, or target range is provided in the analyst data. This suggests institutional coverage may be more extensive than the estimates data implies, but the available data is insufficient to determine a clear consensus view or implied upside/downside. The recent institutional ratings from firms like Mizuho (Neutral), Rosenblatt (Buy), and Keybanc (Overweight) show a mixed but generally positive bias, with no drastic changes in ratings recently, indicating analysts are largely maintaining their stances amidst the stock's decline. The lack of a defined target range in the data signals that without a clear consensus, there is higher uncertainty around the stock's fair value, which can contribute to the elevated volatility observed, and investors should seek more comprehensive coverage data to gauge institutional conviction.

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PTC Technical Analysis

PTC is in a pronounced downtrend, having declined 29.73% over the past six months and 9.23% over the past year. The stock is currently trading near the lower end of its 52-week range, with a recent close of $142.65 compared to a 52-week high of $219.69 and low of $133.38; this positions it at approximately 6.9% above its 52-week low, suggesting it is in deep oversold territory and may represent a potential value opportunity, though it also indicates significant negative momentum and investor pessimism. Recent momentum remains sharply negative, with the stock down 12.54% over the past month and 16.14% over the past three months, which accelerates the longer-term downtrend and shows no signs of a near-term reversal, especially given its severe underperformance relative to the SPY, which is down only 4.28% over the past month. Key technical support is clearly defined at the 52-week low of $133.38, while resistance sits at the recent breakdown levels around $175 and the 52-week high of $219.69; a sustained break below $133.38 would signal a continuation of the bearish trend, while a recovery above $175 is needed to suggest a meaningful stabilization. The stock's beta of 1.058 indicates it is slightly more volatile than the broader market, which is consistent with the software sector, but the recent drawdown of -36.45% highlights extreme downside volatility that demands careful risk management.

Beta

1.06

1.06x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-36.5%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$133-$220

Price range past year

Annual Return

-6.7%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodPTC ReturnS&P 500
1m-12.7%+0.4%
3m-18.8%-2.0%
6m-29.3%+4.1%
1y-6.7%+23.9%
ytd-18.2%-0.3%

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PTC Fundamental Analysis

PTC's revenue trajectory shows robust growth, with Q1 FY2026 revenue of $685.8 million representing a 21.4% year-over-year increase, continuing a multi-quarter trend of strong double-digit growth as seen in prior quarters (e.g., Q4 FY2025 revenue grew 42.7% YoY to $893.8 million). The growth is primarily driven by its transition to a subscription model, with segment data indicating the 'Support and Cloud Services' segment, at $393.3 million, is the largest revenue contributor, underscoring the success of its recurring revenue strategy. The company is solidly profitable, with Q1 net income of $166.5 million and a net margin of 24.3%, while its gross margin remains exceptionally high at 82.83%, consistent with its software business model. Profitability has improved significantly year-over-year, as evidenced by the net margin expanding from 14.6% in Q1 of the prior year, and operating margins have also strengthened, with the Q1 operating margin at 32.2% compared to 20.4% a year ago. The balance sheet is healthy with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.358, and the company generates substantial cash flow, with free cash flow over the trailing twelve months of $888.4 million, providing ample internal funding for growth and shareholder returns. The current ratio of 1.12 indicates adequate short-term liquidity, and the return on equity of 19.18% demonstrates efficient use of shareholder capital, though the recent aggressive share repurchases (evident in cash flow statements) are a use of this strong cash generation.

Quarterly Revenue

$685825000.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.21%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.82%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$888430000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

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Valuation Analysis: Is PTC Overvalued?

Given PTC's positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 33.2x, while the forward P/E is significantly lower at 17.2x, indicating the market expects substantial earnings growth in the coming year, which aligns with analyst EPS estimates averaging $9.49 for the forward period. Compared to industry averages, PTC's trailing P/E of 33.2x and Price/Sales ratio of 8.89x are at a premium to many software peers, but this premium is typically justified by its high gross margins (83.8%), strong profitability, and its strategic position in the industrial software niche. Historically, the stock's own valuation has compressed significantly; its current trailing P/E of 33.2x is below its recent historical range seen in prior quarters (e.g., it was 67.2x in Q1 FY2025 and 42.7x in Q4 FY2024), suggesting the market has de-rated the stock due to growth concerns or sector-wide multiple contraction, placing it at a more reasonable level relative to its own history.

PE

33.2x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range 12x~92x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

22.6x

Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure