WDAY

Workday, Inc.

$130.53

-5.05%
Jun 11, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Workday, Inc. is a leading provider of cloud-based enterprise software for human capital management (HCM), financial management, and business planning solutions. The company is a dominant player in the enterprise resource planning (ERP) software market, distinguished by its cloud-only architecture and focus on large organizations. The current investor narrative is centered on the stock's dramatic recovery from a severe sell-off, driven by strong quarterly earnings that highlighted robust subscription growth and the company's strategic positioning to capitalize on enterprise AI adoption, which is seen as a potential inflection point for the business.

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WDAY 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $130.53
Average Target $130.53
High Target $150.1095
Low Target $110.95049999999999

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Workday, Inc.'s 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $169.69 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$169.69

10 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

10

covering this stock

Price Range

$104 - $170

Analyst target range

Buy
3 (30%)
Hold
5 (50%)
Sell
2 (20%)

Analyst coverage for Workday appears robust, with 10 analysts providing estimates for revenue and EPS, and recent institutional ratings from firms like Mizuho, Bernstein, and Needham showing a pattern of reiterated 'Buy' or 'Outperform' ratings in late February 2026. The consensus sentiment leans bullish, as evidenced by the majority of recent actions being positive holds, though specific consensus recommendation and average target price data are not available in the provided dataset to calculate a precise implied upside. The target price range and recent upgrade/downgrade activity are not specified, but the presence of multiple major firms maintaining positive ratings following the Q1 earnings spike suggests analyst conviction in the recovery narrative; however, the wide historical valuation swings and the stock's 52-week range from $110 to $257 imply that analyst targets likely exhibit a significant spread, reflecting high uncertainty around the pace of the turnaround and AI monetization.

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WDAY Technical Analysis

The stock is in a deep, sustained downtrend over the past year, with a 1-year price change of -40.71%, significantly underperforming the S&P 500's 27.04% gain. Currently trading at $147.91, it sits approximately 14.6% above its 52-week low of $110.36 and 42.5% below its 52-week high of $257.09, indicating it remains in the lower quartile of its annual range and may represent a value opportunity after a punishing decline, though the risk of further downside persists. Recent momentum shows a sharp but volatile recovery, with a 1-month price surge of 14.77% dramatically outperforming the S&P 500's 4.6% gain, yet the 3-month change remains negative at -2.07%, suggesting the short-term rally is attempting to reverse a longer-term downtrend, a divergence that could signal a potential bottoming process or a bear market rally. Key technical support is the 52-week low area near $110, while resistance lies near the 52-week high of $257; a sustained breakout above recent highs near $158 would be a bullish signal, while a breakdown below $110 could trigger another leg down. With a beta of 1.035, the stock exhibits market-like volatility, but its massive 59.05% max drawdown highlights the extreme idiosyncratic risk it has borne, which is critical for risk-aware position sizing.

Beta

1.08

1.08x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-59.0%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$110-$254

Price range past year

Annual Return

-48.1%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodWDAY ReturnS&P 500
1m+10.0%-0.1%
3m-1.9%+11.4%
6m-41.9%+8.2%
1y-48.1%+22.7%
ytd-36.6%+8.2%

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WDAY Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth remains healthy but has decelerated; the most recent quarterly revenue (Q4 FY26) was $2.53 billion, representing a 14.52% year-over-year increase, yet this marks a slowdown from the 17-18% growth seen in prior quarters of the fiscal year, indicating a maturation growth profile that is still solid but no longer hyper-growth. The company is profitable with expanding margins; net income for the quarter was $145 million, and the gross margin was a robust 75.87%, with operating income of $304 million yielding an operating margin of 12.01%, showing a clear trajectory of improving profitability from earlier in the fiscal year when operating margins were in the low single digits. The balance sheet and cash flow are strong, with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.49, a healthy current ratio of 1.32, and substantial free cash flow generation of $2.78 billion on a trailing twelve-month basis, indicating the company has ample internal resources to fund growth, buy back stock (as evidenced by $1.5 billion in repurchases in Q4), and navigate economic uncertainty without reliance on external financing.

Quarterly Revenue

$2.5B

2026-01

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.14%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.75%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$2.8B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Professional Services

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Valuation Analysis: Is WDAY Overvalued?

Given the company's consistent profitability with net income of $145 million in the latest quarter, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The trailing PE is elevated at 66.2x, while the forward PE is significantly lower at 11.7x, indicating the market expects a substantial acceleration in earnings growth, likely driven by margin expansion and AI-related efficiencies. Compared to typical software industry averages, a trailing PE of 66.2x represents a significant premium, which must be justified by Workday's market leadership, durable subscription model, and potential for AI-driven productivity gains; however, the forward PE of 11.7x would suggest a discount if earnings estimates are met. Historically, the stock's own trailing PE has fluctuated wildly, from over 200x during unprofitable periods to as low as 16x; the current 66.2x is above the median of its recent history but well below the extremes of 2021-2022, suggesting the market is pricing in a recovery but remains cautious relative to the peak optimism of prior years.

PE

66.2x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range -324x~88655x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

35.6x

Enterprise Value Multiple