WDAY

Workday, Inc.

$112.50

-0.50%
Apr 12, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Workday, Inc. is a leading provider of cloud-based enterprise software solutions, specializing in human capital management (HCM), financial management, and business planning. The company is a dominant player in the enterprise resource planning (ERP) software market, known for its unified platform that serves large and complex organizations. The current investor narrative is dominated by a severe sector-wide repricing of SaaS stocks, driven by fears that AI-driven automation could disrupt traditional per-seat licensing models, as evidenced by the stock's dramatic decline and recent news highlighting a fundamental reassessment of SaaS valuations.

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WDAY 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $112.5
Average Target $112.5
High Target $129.375
Low Target $95.625

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Workday, Inc.'s 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $146.25 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$146.25

7 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

7

covering this stock

Price Range

$90 - $146

Analyst target range

Buy
2 (29%)
Hold
3 (43%)
Sell
2 (29%)

Analyst coverage appears limited with only 7 analysts providing estimates, but institutional ratings data shows active coverage from at least 10 major firms. The sentiment from recent ratings (February-March 2026) leans heavily bullish, with firms like Mizuho, Rosenblatt, BTIG, Guggenheim, Bernstein, Needham, and Keybanc maintaining Buy, Outperform, or Overweight ratings. Neutral stances are held by Citigroup and DA Davidson. There is no consensus average target price or explicit Buy/Hold/Sell distribution provided in the data, so the implied upside cannot be calculated. The pattern of recent ratings indicates that despite the stock's collapse, a majority of covering analysts maintain a positive long-term view, suggesting they see the sell-off as overdone relative to Workday's fundamental platform strength and cash flow generation. The absence of downgrades in the recent data is a notable signal of analyst conviction during the downturn.

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WDAY Technical Analysis

The stock is in a pronounced and sustained downtrend, having declined 49.94% over the past year. With a current price of $112.5, it is trading just above its 52-week low of $110.36, positioning it at a mere 1.3% of its 52-week range ($276.0 high to $110.36 low). This positioning near the absolute lows suggests the stock is deeply oversold, but also indicates a complete breakdown of support and a potential 'falling knife' scenario where further declines are possible. Short-term momentum is severely negative and accelerating the longer-term downtrend, with the stock down 45.70% over the past three months and 18.38% in the last month alone. This acceleration of selling pressure is confirmed by a massive underperformance relative to the S&P 500 (SPY), which is up 29.52% over the past year, resulting in a staggering -79.46% relative strength reading for WDAY. Key technical levels are clearly defined, with immediate support at the 52-week low of $110.36 and major resistance far above at the 52-week high of $276.0. A breakdown below $110.36 could trigger another leg down, while any recovery would face a long climb through multiple resistance zones. The stock's beta of 1.141 indicates it is approximately 14% more volatile than the broader market, which has amplified losses during this downturn and is a critical factor for risk management.

Beta

1.14

1.14x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-59.0%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$110-$276

Price range past year

Annual Return

-49.9%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodWDAY ReturnS&P 500
1m-18.4%+2.6%
3m-45.7%-2.3%
6m-51.8%+2.6%
1y-49.9%+27.3%
ytd-45.3%-0.4%

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WDAY Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth remains positive but has shown signs of deceleration. The most recent quarterly revenue (Q4 FY26 ending Jan 31, 2026) was $2.532 billion, representing a 14.52% year-over-year increase. However, examining the sequential quarterly revenue from the income statements shows a trend: $2.24B (Q1), $2.348B (Q2), $2.432B (Q3), to $2.532B (Q4). While still growing, the pace from Q3 to Q4 (+4.1% quarter-over-quarter) is slower than from Q2 to Q3 (+3.6% q/q), indicating potential moderation in growth momentum. The company is profitable, with net income of $145 million in the latest quarter and a trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $2.777 billion. Profitability margins are healthy but have shown some quarterly volatility; the latest gross margin was 75.87%, while the operating margin was 12.01%. It is notable that net income of $145M in Q4 was significantly lower than the $252M reported in Q3, suggesting potential margin pressure or one-time items impacting the bottom line. The balance sheet and cash flow position remain strong, underpinning financial health. The company has a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.49 and a solid current ratio of 1.32, indicating sufficient liquidity. Most importantly, the robust free cash flow generation of $2.777 billion TTM provides ample internal funding for operations, investments, and the significant stock repurchase activity evidenced in the cash flow statements (e.g., $1.504 billion in repurchases in Q4 FY26).

Quarterly Revenue

$2.5B

2026-01

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.14%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.75%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$2.8B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

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Valuation Analysis: Is WDAY Overvalued?

Given that Net Income is positive ($145M in latest quarter), the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The trailing PE ratio is elevated at 66.22x, while the forward PE is dramatically lower at 9.03x. This massive gap implies the market expects a substantial increase in earnings, likely pricing in a recovery from recent pressures and the benefits of cost management and share repurchases. Compared to industry averages, data is not available in the provided dataset for a direct sector multiple comparison. However, the forward PE of 9.03x, if accurate, would likely represent a significant discount to high-growth software peers, reflecting the current bearish sentiment and growth concerns. Historically, the stock's own valuation has compressed drastically. The historical ratios data shows the PE ratio has fallen from levels above 240x in early 2025 to the current 66.22x. The stock is trading near the bottom of its own historical valuation range, which typically signals either a deep value opportunity if fundamentals remain intact, or a justified repricing if the business model is indeed under threat. The current low forward multiple suggests the market has already priced in a very pessimistic scenario.

PE

66.2x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range -324x~88655x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

35.6x

Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure