NEM

Newmont Mining Corporation

$95.76

+4.84%
Jul 30, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Newmont Corporation is the world's largest gold miner, operating 11 mines and interests in two joint ventures across the Americas, Africa, Australia, and Papua New Guinea, with significant byproduct production of copper, silver, zinc, and lead. As the industry leader by scale, Newmont's competitive identity is defined by its diversified global asset base, low-cost operations, and a portfolio streamlined after the 2023 acquisition of Newcrest and subsequent divestiture of six higher-cost mines. The current investor narrative centers on the stock's sharp decline amid a gold bear market—gold tumbled into its first bear market since 2022—and concerns over lower 2026 production guidance and rising costs, though strong cash flows and a net cash position have prompted some analysts to highlight compelling long-term value.

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NEM 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $95.76
Average Target $95.76
High Target $110.12
Low Target $81.40

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Newmont Mining Corporation's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $129.27 and implied upside of +35.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$129.27

0 analysts

Implied Upside

+35.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

covering this stock

Price Range

$67 - $168

Analyst target range

Newmont is covered by 21 analysts, with a consensus recommendation of 'Buy' and a mean recommendation score of 1.55 (1=Strong Buy, 5=Sell). The average price target is $129.46, implying a substantial 38.9% upside from the current price of $93.19. The distribution leans heavily bullish, with recent upgrades from TD Cowen (to Buy from Hold) and reaffirmations from Scotiabank, BofA, RBC, Jefferies, and UBS, indicating strong institutional conviction despite the stock's recent decline.

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NEM Technical Analysis

Newmont's 1-year price change of +51.5% reflects a strong uptrend over the past year, but the current price of $93.19 sits at just 39% of its 52-week range (low $61.76, high $134.88), indicating a significant pullback from the highs. This positioning near the lower end of the range suggests the stock is deeply oversold relative to its yearly trajectory, potentially offering a value entry if the long-term trend resumes, but also risks further downside if the bearish momentum persists. The 1-year relative strength of +35.0% versus the S&P 500 underscores that the stock has dramatically outperformed the broader market over the past year, despite the recent correction.

Beta

0.48

0.48x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-32.4%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$62-$135

Price range past year

Annual Return

+53.7%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodNEM ReturnS&P 500
1m+2.5%-0.7%
3m-11.8%+2.9%
6m-14.8%+7.2%
1y+53.7%+16.9%
ytd-5.4%+8.8%

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NEM Fundamental Analysis

Revenue has grown strongly, with Q1 2026 revenue of $7.183 billion up 47.5% year-over-year, driven by higher gold prices and the Newcrest acquisition. However, the multi-quarter trend shows revenue decelerating from Q4 2025's $6.571 billion and Q3 2025's $5.380 billion, as gold prices have weakened and production is expected to decline to ~5.3 million ounces in 2026. The Gold Dore segment contributed $4.776 billion in Q1, while concentrate and other production added $2.531 billion, highlighting the core gold business as the primary growth driver.

Quarterly Revenue

$7.2B

2026-03

Revenue YoY Growth

+47.5%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

62.4%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$12.3B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Gold Dore
Sales From Concentrate And Other Production

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Valuation Analysis: Is NEM Overvalued?

Since net income is positive ($3.262 billion in Q1 2026), the PE ratio is the primary valuation metric. The trailing PE is 15.6x, while the forward PE is 8.8x, a steep discount that implies the market expects earnings to decline significantly—likely reflecting the gold price downturn and lower production guidance. The gap between trailing and forward PE suggests the market is pricing in a sharp earnings contraction, which could present an opportunity if the pessimism is overdone.

PE

15.6x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range 7x~65x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

7.3x

Enterprise Value Multiple