Boston Beer Company
SAM
$173.18
-3.35%
The Boston Beer Company is a leading US producer of high-end malt beverages and adjacent categories, with a portfolio concentrated in craft beer (Samuel Adams), flavored malt beverages (Twisted Tea), hard cider (Angry Orchard), and hard seltzer (Truly). The company operates as a prominent independent player in the competitive alcoholic beverage industry, leveraging a hybrid production model and a direct sales force to educate the market. The current investor narrative centers on the company's ability to navigate a post-hard seltzer boom landscape, with attention focused on the sustained growth of its Twisted Tea brand and the stabilization of its Truly franchise amidst intense competition and shifting consumer preferences within the premium beverage segment.…
SAM
Boston Beer Company
$173.18
SAM 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Boston Beer Company's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $225.13 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$225.13
7 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
7
covering this stock
Price Range
$139 - $225
Analyst target range
Insufficient analyst coverage data is available to provide a consensus price target, Buy/Hold/Sell distribution, or target range. The provided data includes estimates for EPS and revenue from 8 analysts, but no corresponding price targets or recommendations are listed. This limited coverage, typical for a mid-cap company like Boston Beer, implies higher volatility and less efficient price discovery, as the stock is less scrutinized by the institutional investment community. The absence of this data requires investors to rely more heavily on independent fundamental and technical analysis rather than consensus signals when forming an investment view.
SAM Technical Analysis
The stock is in a pronounced downtrend, having declined 12.48% over the past year and currently trading at a price of $214.30, which is near the lower end of its 52-week range of $185.34 to $264.46. This positioning, approximately 21% above the 52-week low, suggests the stock is in a value-seeking zone but remains under significant selling pressure, as evidenced by a sharp 9.59% single-day drop on May 1st. Recent momentum is decisively negative and diverges from a brief recovery; the stock is down 8.75% over the past month, starkly contrasting with its modest 0.32% gain over the past three months, indicating a rapid deterioration in sentiment and a potential failure of the prior consolidation attempt. Key technical support is clearly defined at the 52-week low of $185.34, while resistance sits at the recent highs near $264.46; a breakdown below support would signal a continuation of the bearish trend, whereas the stock's high short ratio of 5.47 and its severe underperformance relative to the SPY, with a 1-year relative strength of -41.52, highlight elevated volatility and persistent negative market sentiment.
Beta
0.88
0.88x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-33.4%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$170-$264
Price range past year
Annual Return
-27.2%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | SAM Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | -26.7% | +7.7% |
| 3m | -30.0% | +9.7% |
| 6m | -12.6% | +11.3% |
| 1y | -27.2% | +27.3% |
| ytd | -13.3% | +9.7% |
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SAM Fundamental Analysis
Revenue trajectory data is not available from the provided quarterly financials, preventing a detailed analysis of top-line growth, segment performance, or multi-quarter trends. Profitability metrics show a company with thin margins; the most recent net margin is 5.20%, supported by a gross margin of 45.64%, but the operating margin of 6.94% indicates significant operating expenses compressing bottom-line results. The trailing EPS of $0.05 confirms minimal profitability, and the absence of a dividend (payout ratio of 0%) suggests all capital is being retained for operations. The balance sheet appears conservatively leveraged with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.045 and a healthy current ratio of 1.65, indicating strong short-term liquidity; however, the return on equity of 12.82% and return on assets of 7.24% suggest moderate efficiency in generating returns from its capital base, while the lack of cash flow statement data limits the assessment of internal funding capacity.
Quarterly Revenue
N/A
N/A
Revenue YoY Growth
N/A
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
N/A
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Last 12 Months
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Valuation Analysis: Is SAM Overvalued?
Given the company's positive net income, the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The stock trades at a trailing PE of 19.30x and a forward PE of 19.09x; the negligible gap between these figures suggests the market anticipates minimal near-term earnings growth or multiple expansion. Compared to industry averages, which are not provided in the data, a definitive premium or discount cannot be quantified, though a PE near 19x for a company with modest growth and profitability would typically be assessed relative to faster-growing or more profitable beverage peers. Historical context is also unavailable due to missing historical ratios data, preventing an analysis of whether the current valuation is at the high or low end of the stock's own historical range, which is a critical gap in determining if the price reflects excessive pessimism or optimism.
PE
19.3x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
N/A
5-Year PE Range 17x~59x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
7.8x
Enterprise Value Multiple

