Terayon
TERN
$52.97
+0.04%
Terns Pharmaceuticals is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing a portfolio of small-molecule therapies for chronic diseases, primarily in oncology and metabolic disorders. Its lead asset is TERN-701, an oral allosteric BCR-ABL1 inhibitor for Chronic Myeloid Leukemia (CML), positioning the firm as a specialized player in targeted oncology. The current investor narrative is overwhelmingly dominated by acquisition dynamics, specifically Merck's reported $6-6.7 billion offer, which has driven intense speculation, valuation debates, and recent analyst downgrades following a review of updated clinical data for TERN-701.…
TERN
Terayon
$52.97
Related headlines
TERN 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Terayon's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $68.86 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$68.86
3 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
3
covering this stock
Price Range
$42 - $69
Analyst target range
Insufficient analyst coverage available in the provided dataset to generate a meaningful consensus. The institutional ratings data shows a flurry of activity in late March 2026, with multiple firms (Truist, Barclays, TD Cowen, Citizens, HC Wainwright) downgrading the stock from Buy or Outperform to Hold, Neutral, or Market Perform. This pattern clearly indicates a shift in analyst sentiment following the Merck offer news, suggesting the investment thesis has transitioned from a speculative growth story to an event-driven merger arbitrage play, limiting further fundamental upside. The lack of traditional price targets and the focus on rating actions underscores the high uncertainty and binary outcome surrounding the acquisition.
TERN Technical Analysis
The stock is in a powerful, sustained uptrend, evidenced by a staggering 1-year price change of +1412.86%. As of the latest data, the price of $52.967 sits at approximately 99.6% of its 52-week high of $53.19, indicating the stock is trading at its absolute peak. This positioning near the highs reflects extreme momentum but also suggests the stock is highly extended and vulnerable to any negative news or profit-taking. Recent momentum shows a deceleration from the explosive longer-term trend; the 1-month price change is a modest +0.44%, significantly underperforming the S&P 500's +11.37% gain, while the 3-month return of +37.46% remains strong. This divergence, where short-term momentum lags both the long-term trend and the broader market, could signal a consolidation phase or a loss of upward thrust following the acquisition-driven rally. Key technical levels are clear: immediate resistance is the 52-week high at $53.19, while support is far below at the 52-week low of $2.655. A breakout above $53.19 would signal a continuation of the bullish trend, though limited headroom exists, while a breakdown below recent consolidation near $52 would suggest a deeper pullback. The stock's beta of -0.38 indicates it has exhibited low and inverse correlation to the market over the measured period, which is atypical for a biotech and likely reflects idiosyncratic, event-driven price action centered on M&A speculation.
Beta
-0.38
-0.38x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-27.6%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$3-$53
Price range past year
Annual Return
+1412.9%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | TERN Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +0.4% | +11.4% |
| 3m | +37.5% | +8.3% |
| 6m | +191.1% | +9.4% |
| 1y | +1412.9% | +31.3% |
| ytd | +32.0% | +7.6% |
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TERN Fundamental Analysis
As a pre-revenue clinical-stage biotech, Terns has no product sales, with quarterly revenue consistently reported as $0. The company's financials are entirely defined by its R&D burn rate, as it advances its pipeline. The most recent quarterly net income was -$23.57 million, with an EPS of -$0.24. Profitability metrics are all negative or zero, including a gross margin of 0% and a net margin of 0%, which is standard for a company in this development phase. The balance sheet and cash flow are critical: the company reported a robust cash position of $524.75 million at the end of Q4 2025, bolstered by significant financing activities including $706.39 million from common stock issuance. The debt-to-equity ratio is negligible at 0.0009, indicating a virtually debt-free capital structure. However, operating and free cash flow are deeply negative, with quarterly operating cash flow at -$19.08 million and TTM free cash flow at -$82.18 million. The current ratio is exceptionally high at 62.41, showing ample liquidity to fund operations in the near term without the need for immediate additional financing, assuming the acquisition does not proceed.
Quarterly Revenue
$0.0B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
N/A
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
N/A
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$-82182000.0B
Last 12 Months
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Valuation Analysis: Is TERN Overvalued?
Given the company's negative net income and EBITDA, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio. The PS ratio is 0, reflecting the absence of revenue, which renders standard multiples meaningless for a standalone fundamental valuation. In the context of the reported acquisition, the valuation is entirely event-driven, with the $6+ billion offer price implying a significant premium to the company's pre-rumor market cap. Peer comparison using standard multiples is not applicable, as the company's valuation is not based on financial metrics but on the strategic worth of its pipeline assets to an acquirer like Merck. Historically, the stock's own valuation ratios, such as its trailing PE, have fluctuated widely from deeply negative levels (e.g., -39.12x recently) based on its losses, but these historical figures are not informative given the transformative nature of the acquisition offer. The current valuation context is purely binary, hinging on the completion, renegotiation, or potential topping of the Merck deal.
PE
-39.1x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Low-End
5-Year PE Range -40x~-1x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
-29.4x
Enterprise Value Multiple

